Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.195758 0.227744 0.263380 0.306039 0.355747 0.411876 0.480120
2025-02-16 0.145230 0.187486 0.239715 0.309098 0.399014 0.511826 0.664495
2025-02-23 0.116681 0.161768 0.221611 0.307026 0.426152 0.586930 0.821339
2025-03-02 0.095338 0.140032 0.202879 0.297964 0.438743 0.640400 0.952882
2025-03-09 0.084391 0.130324 0.198237 0.306338 0.474958 0.729392 1.145282
2025-03-16 0.074092 0.119631 0.190029 0.307274 0.498866 0.801717 1.320999
2025-03-23 0.066811 0.112347 0.185666 0.312933 0.529957 0.887947 1.529347
2025-03-30 0.058650 0.102360 0.175413 0.307122 0.540689 0.941369 1.688922
2025-04-06 0.052337 0.094570 0.167658 0.304201 0.555388 1.002445 1.868887
2025-04-13 0.047516 0.088720 0.162410 0.304781 0.575946 1.075672 2.079814
2025-04-20 0.045152 0.087001 0.164249 0.318400 0.621987 1.200580 2.404475
2025-04-27 0.042681 0.084737 0.164731 0.329348 0.664041 1.322681 2.739544
2025-05-04 0.039975 0.081768 0.163684 0.337527 0.702436 1.443969 3.093393
2025-05-11 0.036958 0.077813 0.160250 0.340499 0.730750 1.548902 3.428921
2025-05-18 0.033781 0.073107 0.154688 0.338218 0.747496 1.631503 3.727092
2025-05-25 0.030288 0.067286 0.146082 0.328218 0.745995 1.674383 3.941603
2025-06-01 0.028784 0.065628 0.146178 0.337459 0.788696 1.820267 4.415361
2025-06-08 0.026783 0.062597 0.142875 0.338491 0.812507 1.925947 4.807819
2025-06-15 0.025347 0.060692 0.141872 0.344736 0.849386 2.066683 5.306429
2025-06-22 0.023202 0.056845 0.135925 0.338324 0.854539 2.131578 5.621768
2025-06-29 0.021468 0.053789 0.131498 0.335101 0.867226 2.216611 6.001840
2025-07-06 0.020119 0.051528 0.128738 0.335741 0.889899 2.329783 6.473804
2025-07-13 0.019652 0.051458 0.131406 0.350769 0.952388 2.554414 7.285964